Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Holloways Park
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.79)
1.76 (league 1.62)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.4% | 20.2% | 29.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Ware | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Beaconsfield Town | 0 | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Ware carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 18 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Beaconsfield Town -23.2, Ware -7.8.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Beaconsfield Town
vs
Ware
Elo gapWare +18
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo2992.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2992.2
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Beaconsfield Town | Ware |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1469.4 | 1522.8 |
| Form Elo | 1450.4 | 1521.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1488.7 | 1521.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1567.1 | 1616.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1275.5 | 1532.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -23.2 | -7.8 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Beaconsfield Town last-5 Elo change: -23.2; Ware last-5 Elo change: -7.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Beaconsfield Town | Ware |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 36% | 52% |
| Defense | 40% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Beaconsfield Town | Ware | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 19 | 39 | 21 | 17 | 38 |
| Wins | 35% | 37% | 36% | 52% | 35% | 45% |
| Draws | 30% | 32% | 31% | 19% | 18% | 18% |
| Loses | 35% | 32% | 33% | 29% | 47% | 37% |
Beaconsfield TownWDLWDWWLDDDDLWDDLDLWLLWWWDDWWLLWWLLLDWL
WareLWWLWWWWDWLDLWDLLLWWDWWLLLDDLWLWWDWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Beaconsfield Town | Ware | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 39 | 32 | 71 | 49 | 25 | 74 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 37 | 37 | 74 | 23 | 34 | 57 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Beaconsfield Town | Ware | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 90% | 79% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 49% | 50% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 26% | 37% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 18% | 16% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Beaconsfield Town | Ware | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Beaconsfield Town | Ware |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Beaconsfield Town | Ware |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 8-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-1 | 2-4 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Beaconsfield Town | Ware |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 37.8% | 62.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…