Mexico W vs New Zealand W

Friendlies Women — World

Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes

Match Finished

Mexico W

1 - 0

New Zealand W

Expected Goals

0.47 (league 1.93) 0.27 (league 1.13)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
30.3%	54.2%	15.6%

best score tips

0 - 0

48.0%

1 - 0

22.4%

0 - 1

12.8%

Score & goals probability table

		New Zealand W
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Mexico W	0	48.0%	12.8%	1.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	22.4%	6.0%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	5.2%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Mexico W	New Zealand W
Played	5	4
Form	73%	58%
Attack	53%	33%
Defense	87%	67%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	5 \| 1.3
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	5 \| 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%

FT probability

2.5+

42%

FT probability

3.5+

30%

FT probability

BTTS

61%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Mexico W			New Zealand W
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	6	0	6	2	2	4
Wins	67%	—	67%	50%	50%	50%
Draws	33%	—	33%	0%	50%	25%
Loses	0%	—	0%	50%	0%	25%

Form: Mexico W: WWDWDW • New Zealand W: DWLW

League goals

Metric	Mexico W			New Zealand W
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	11	0	11	3	2	5
GF avg	1.8	0.0	1.8	1.5	1.0	1.3
GA total	2	0	2	4	1	5
GA avg	0.3	0.0	0.3	2.0	0.5	1.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Mexico W		New Zealand W
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	83%	17%	100%	75%
1.5	50%	17%	25%	25%
2.5	33%	0%	0%	25%
3.5	17%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Mexico W			New Zealand W
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	5	0	5	0	1	1
Failed to score	1	0	1	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	Mexico W	New Zealand W
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Mexico W	New Zealand W
Wins	2	1
Draws	1	1
Losses	0	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	—	2-1	0-1
Biggest losses	—	—	1-3	—
Goals For	4	0	2	1
Goals Against	2	0	3	1

Model comparison

Metric	Mexico W	New Zealand W
Form	61%	39%
Att	62%	38%
Def	71%	29%
Poisson Distribution	57%	43%
H2h	20%	80%
Goals	40%	60%
Total	51.8%	48.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mexico W or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Bet365

Draw4.33 @ Bet365

Away9.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Bet365 Updated: 2025-10-24T00:06:15+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.30
Draw	4.33
Away	9.50

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.08
Away	7.00

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.75	2.00
Away -1.75	1.80
Home -1.5	1.98
Away -1.5	1.82

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	1.85
Under 2.5	1.95

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	21.00
Home/Away	67.00
Draw/Away	19.00
Draw/Draw	7.00
Home/Home	1.83
Draw/Home	4.00
Away/Home	23.00
Away/Draw	21.00
Away/Away	17.00

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	6.50
2:0	6.00
2:1	9.50
3:0	8.00
3:1	13.00
3:2	34.00
4:0	13.00
4:1	21.00
0:0	11.00
1:1	9.00
2:2	23.00
0:1	21.00
0:2	41.00
0:3	126.00
1:2	29.00
1:3	67.00
2:3	67.00
3:3	81.00
4:2	51.00
5:0	26.00
5:1	41.00
5:2	81.00
6:0	41.00
6:1	67.00
6:2	151.00
4:3	126.00
7:0	81.00
7:1	151.00

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.20
2:0	6.00
2:1	19.00
3:0	15.00
3:1	41.00
3:2	151.00
4:0	41.00
4:1	81.00
0:0	3.10
1:1	11.00
2:2	67.00
0:1	10.00
0:2	41.00
0:3	151.00
1:2	51.00
5:0	101.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.03
Home/Away	1.14
Draw/Away	3.00

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.73
Draw	2.50
Away	8.50

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.33
Draw	11.00
Away	3.75

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.75	1.95
Away -0.75	1.85
Home -0.5	1.75
Away -0.5	2.05

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.05
Home/Away	1.50
Draw/Away	2.00

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.00
Even	1.85

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.00
Even	1.80

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.91
Even	1.80

Bet ID 50 — Goal Line

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	1.85
Under 2.5	1.95
Over 2.75	1.98
Under 2.75	1.82
Over 3	1.95
Under 3	1.85

Bet ID 72 — Goal Line (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 1	1.70
Under 1	2.10
Over 1.25	1.82
Under 1.25	1.98

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Mexico W vs New Zealand W

Expected goals (λ): Mexico W = 0.47 (league 1.93), New Zealand W = 0.27 (league 1.13)

		New Zealand W
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Mexico W	0	48.0%	12.8%	1.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	22.4%	6.0%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	5.2%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.3% · Draw 54.2% · Away win 15.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Mexico W	New Zealand W
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0