Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 02:00 •
Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.86)
0.30 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.4% | 52.6% | 17.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
45.8%
1 - 0
22.1%
0 - 1
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
| New Zealand W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mexico W | 0 | 45.8% | 13.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.1% | 6.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mexico W | New Zealand W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 4 |
| Form | 73% | 58% |
| Attack | 53% | 33% |
| Defense | 87% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mexico W | New Zealand W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 67% | — | 67% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 33% | — | 33% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | — | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Mexico W: WWDWDW • New Zealand W: DWLW
League goals
| Metric | Mexico W | New Zealand W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mexico W | New Zealand W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 17% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 17% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mexico W | New Zealand W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mexico W | New Zealand W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mexico W | New Zealand W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | — | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mexico W | New Zealand W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 61% | 39% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Mexico W or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mexico W = 0.48 (league 1.86), New Zealand W = 0.30 (league 1.01)
| New Zealand W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mexico W | 0 | 45.8% | 13.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.1% | 6.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.4% · Draw 52.6% · Away win 17.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1