Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 19:45 • Rodney Parade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.93) 3.56 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.2% 3.2% 81.6%
best score tips
0 - 3
20.4%
0 - 4
18.1%
0 - 2
17.2%
Score & goals probability table
Poland W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wales W 0 2.7% 9.7% 17.2% 20.4% 18.1% 12.9%
1 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWales WPoland W
Played12
Form0%67%
Attack4%17%
Defense91%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 14 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 20 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wales W Poland W
HATHAT
Played101202
Wins0%—0%50%—50%
Draws0%—0%50%—50%
Loses100%—100%0%—0%

Form: Wales W: L • Poland W: WD

League goals

Metric Wales W Poland W
HATHAT
GF total101404
GF avg1.00.01.02.00.02.0
GA total202000
GA avg2.00.02.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWales WPoland W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%50%0%
1.50%100%50%0%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWales WPoland W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricWales WPoland W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWales WPoland W
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——4-0—
Biggest losses1-2———
Goals For1040
Goals Against2000

Model comparison

MetricWales WPoland W
Form0%100%
Att20%80%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total20.0%80.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Poland W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.67 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Unibet
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Wales W = 0.05 (league 1.93), Poland W = 3.56 (league 1.13)

Poland W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wales W 0 2.7% 9.7% 17.2% 20.4% 18.1% 12.9%
1 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.2% · Draw 3.2% · Away win 81.6%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1