Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.36) 1.13 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.2% 24.6% 26.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sevastopol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rostov II 0 6.4% 7.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.3% 11.7% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.5% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.5% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRostov IISevastopol
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack100%100%
Defense40%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rostov II Sevastopol
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins62%36%48%57%46%52%
Draws15%29%22%29%38%33%
Loses23%36%30%14%15%15%

Form: Rostov II: WWWDDLWLWWDWWWLLLDWLWLDLWWD • Sevastopol: WWWDLDDDWLDLWWWDWWWWDWDLWDW

League goals

Metric Rostov II Sevastopol
HATHAT
GF total221537212243
GF avg1.71.11.41.51.71.6
GA total91322141731
GA avg0.70.90.81.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRostov IISevastopol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%52%81%74%
1.537%26%52%26%
2.522%4%19%11%
3.511%0%7%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRostov IISevastopol
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613527
Failed to score2810235

Penalties

MetricRostov IISevastopol
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricRostov IISevastopol
Wins34
Draws23
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-53-11-4
Biggest losses1-32-01-43-0
Goals For4534
Goals Against3243

Model comparison

MetricRostov IISevastopol
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total61.7%38.3%

Advice: Double chance : Rostov II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.25 @ Superbet
Away2.57 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.90 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Superbet
No2.12 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rostov II = 1.62 (league 1.36), Sevastopol = 1.13 (league 1.05)

Sevastopol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rostov II 0 6.4% 7.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.3% 11.7% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.5% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.5% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.2% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 26.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1