Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.38) 1.07 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.4% 28.3% 32.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
12.3%
0 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sochi II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Astrakhan 0 10.1% 10.8% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.3% 13.2% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.5% 8.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAstrakhanSochi II
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack50%100%
Defense83%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Astrakhan Sochi II
HATHAT
Played141428151328
Wins36%43%39%40%38%39%
Draws50%21%36%40%23%32%
Loses14%36%25%20%38%29%

Form: Astrakhan: DLLDWLDDLDWWWWWDWLDDDLWWDLWW • Sochi II: WDWDWLWDWDLLLLWWLDDDLWWWLWDD

League goals

Metric Astrakhan Sochi II
HATHAT
GF total171835221840
GF avg1.21.31.31.51.41.4
GA total111324111829
GA avg0.80.90.90.71.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAstrakhanSochi II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%64%79%68%
1.525%14%39%25%
2.57%4%11%11%
3.57%4%11%0%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAstrakhanSochi II
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510729
Failed to score347426

Penalties

MetricAstrakhanSochi II
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricAstrakhanSochi II
Wins53
Draws33
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-75-11-4
Biggest losses1-24-11-33-1
Goals For4754
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricAstrakhanSochi II
Form56%44%
Att27%73%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sochi II and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Superbet
Draw3.25 @ Superbet
Away2.93 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.62 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No1.82 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Astrakhan = 1.22 (league 1.38), Sochi II = 1.07 (league 1.05)

Sochi II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Astrakhan 0 10.1% 10.8% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.3% 13.2% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.5% 8.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.4% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 32.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1