Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.36) 0.94 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.4% 32.2% 34.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.4%
0 - 1
14.6%
1 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Rostov II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pobeda 0 15.4% 14.6% 6.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.6% 6.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPobedaRostov II
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack33%100%
Defense44%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pobeda Rostov II
HATHAT
Played131528141428
Wins62%47%54%57%36%46%
Draws8%13%11%14%29%21%
Loses31%40%36%29%36%32%

Form: Pobeda: LDWLWWWWLWWLLWWDWWWWLWLLWDLL • Rostov II: WWWDDLWLWWDWWWLLLDWLWLDLWWDL

League goals

Metric Pobeda Rostov II
HATHAT
GF total181533221537
GF avg1.41.01.21.61.11.3
GA total121628101323
GA avg0.91.11.00.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePobedaRostov II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%68%61%54%
1.532%29%36%25%
2.514%4%21%4%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPobedaRostov II
HATHAT
Clean sheets5497613
Failed to score2683811

Penalties

MetricPobedaRostov II
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricPobedaRostov II
Wins43
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-10-5
Biggest losses1-23-01-32-0
Goals For3345
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricPobedaRostov II
Form36%64%
Att25%75%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rostov II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Superbet
Draw3.25 @ Superbet
Away2.78 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.62 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Superbet
No1.82 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pobeda = 0.92 (league 1.36), Rostov II = 0.94 (league 1.05)

Rostov II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pobeda 0 15.4% 14.6% 6.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.6% 6.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.4% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 34.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1