Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 11:00 •
Stadion Spartak
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.38)
1.72 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.6% | 23.8% | 50.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Sevastopol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pobeda | 0 | 5.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pobeda | Sevastopol |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 73% |
| Attack | 15% | 54% |
| Defense | 15% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pobeda | Sevastopol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 18 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 53% | 39% | 46% | 61% | 47% | 54% |
| Draws | 12% | 11% | 11% | 28% | 41% | 34% |
| Loses | 35% | 50% | 43% | 11% | 12% | 11% |
Form: Pobeda: LDWLWWWWLWWLLWWDWWWWLWLLWDLLWLLDLLL • Sevastopol: WWWDLDDDWLDLWWWDWWWWDWDLWDWWWDWWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Pobeda | Sevastopol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 16 | 39 | 28 | 26 | 54 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 20 | 24 | 44 | 16 | 19 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pobeda | Sevastopol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 71% | 83% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 40% | 49% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 17% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 6% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pobeda | Sevastopol | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pobeda | Sevastopol |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pobeda | Sevastopol |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pobeda | Sevastopol |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 8% | 92% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 21% | 79% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 21.7% | 78.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sevastopol
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pobeda = 1.12 (league 1.38), Sevastopol = 1.72 (league 1.05)
| Sevastopol | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pobeda | 0 | 5.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 50.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1