Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.17) 0.81 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.5% 33.1% 29.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.0%
1 - 0
16.3%
0 - 1
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Mercedes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Paraguayo 0 17.0% 13.8% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.3% 13.3% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.8% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo ParaguayoMercedes
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack25%25%
Defense33%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Paraguayo Mercedes
HATHAT
Played131326121224
Wins31%15%23%33%33%33%
Draws38%15%27%25%8%17%
Loses31%69%50%42%58%50%

Form: Deportivo Paraguayo: LDLWLLLLDDLWWWWDLDDDLLLLLW • Mercedes: WLLDLLWLDWWLLDWWLWLLWDLL

League goals

Metric Deportivo Paraguayo Mercedes
HATHAT
GF total1081891120
GF avg0.80.60.70.80.90.8
GA total112132111728
GA avg0.81.61.20.91.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo ParaguayoMercedes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%65%63%67%
1.515%42%17%33%
2.50%15%4%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo ParaguayoMercedes
HATHAT
Clean sheets639538
Failed to score5712549

Penalties

MetricDeportivo ParaguayoMercedes
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricDeportivo ParaguayoMercedes
Wins42
Draws31
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-01-2
Biggest losses0-33-00-33-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo ParaguayoMercedes
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mercedes

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ William Hill
Away3.43 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ William Hill
No1.63 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Paraguayo = 0.96 (league 1.17), Mercedes = 0.81 (league 0.89)

Mercedes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Paraguayo 0 17.0% 13.8% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.3% 13.3% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.8% 6.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.5% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 29.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1