Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 18:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.17) 0.56 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.0% 37.3% 22.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.1%
1 - 0
20.7%
0 - 1
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Canuelas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugano 0 24.1% 13.6% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 11.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.9% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuganoCanuelas
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack56%67%
Defense22%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugano Canuelas
HATHAT
Played121224131326
Wins33%17%25%38%8%23%
Draws33%33%33%31%54%42%
Loses33%50%42%31%38%35%

Form: Lugano: WWDLWLLDLLWLDDWLLWDLDDLD • Canuelas: LDWDLLLWDWDDDDWDDDLLLLWDLW

League goals

Metric Lugano Canuelas
HATHAT
GF total1292115621
GF avg1.00.80.91.20.50.8
GA total121830111324
GA avg1.01.51.30.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuganoCanuelas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%71%54%58%
1.525%42%19%19%
2.50%13%4%12%
3.50%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuganoCanuelas
HATHAT
Clean sheets6176511
Failed to score4595712

Penalties

MetricLuganoCanuelas
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLuganoCanuelas
Wins21
Draws24
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-00-1
Biggest losses1-33-01-34-1
Goals For2241
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricLuganoCanuelas
Form30%70%
Att45%55%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Canuelas and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.02 @ 1xBet
Draw2.80 @ 10Bet
Away2.62 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.65 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.44 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.63 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lugano = 0.86 (league 1.17), Canuelas = 0.56 (league 0.89)

Canuelas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugano 0 24.1% 13.6% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 11.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.9% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.0% · Draw 37.3% · Away win 22.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1