Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 13:00 • Rwamwanja stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.34) 0.05 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 46.7% 2.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
45.0%
1 - 0
33.7%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
UPDF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mbarara City 0 45.0% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMbarara CityUPDF
Played11
Form33%0%
Attack10%0%
Defense90%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 10 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 11 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

29%
FT probability

2.5+

20%
FT probability

3.5+

14%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mbarara City UPDF
HATHAT
Played011011
Wins0%0%0%0%
Draws100%100%0%0%
Loses0%0%100%100%

Form: Mbarara City: D • UPDF: L

League goals

Metric Mbarara City UPDF
HATHAT
GF total011000
GF avg0.01.01.00.00.00.0
GA total011011
GA avg0.01.01.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMbarara CityUPDF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%0%100%
1.50%0%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMbarara CityUPDF
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricMbarara CityUPDF
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMbarara CityUPDF
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses1-0
Goals For0100
Goals Against0101

Model comparison

MetricMbarara CityUPDF
Form100%0%
Att100%0%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total32.7%67.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mbarara City or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ Betano
Draw3.02 @ Marathonbet
Away2.70 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Superbet
No1.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mbarara City = 0.75 (league 1.34), UPDF = 0.05 (league 0.90)

UPDF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mbarara City 0 45.0% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 46.7% · Away win 2.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1