Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 13:00 • Bombo Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.43) 0.05 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.3% 68.2% 3.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
67.0%
1 - 0
23.5%
2 - 0
4.1%
Score & goals probability table
Maroons
0 1 2 3 4 5
UPDF 0 67.0% 3.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUPDFMaroons
Played21
Form50%0%
Attack9%0%
Defense91%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.50 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.51 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

21%
FT probability

2.5+

15%
FT probability

3.5+

11%
FT probability

BTTS

41%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UPDF Maroons
HATHAT
Played022011
Wins—50%50%—0%0%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—50%50%—100%100%

Form: UPDF: LW • Maroons: L

League goals

Metric UPDF Maroons
HATHAT
GF total011000
GF avg0.00.50.50.00.00.0
GA total011011
GA avg0.00.50.50.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUPDFMaroons
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%0%100%
1.50%0%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUPDFMaroons
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricUPDFMaroons
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUPDFMaroons
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-1——
Biggest losses—1-0—1-0
Goals For0100
Goals Against0101

Model comparison

MetricUPDFMaroons
Form100%0%
Att100%0%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : UPDF or draw and -2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ Unibet
Away3.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.70 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UPDF = 0.35 (league 1.43), Maroons = 0.05 (league 0.96)

Maroons
0 1 2 3 4 5
UPDF 0 67.0% 3.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.3% · Draw 68.2% · Away win 3.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1