Thu, Oct 16 2025 • 17:00 • MTN Omondi Stadium
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
2.97 (league 1.35) 1.12 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.8% 14.0% 11.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lugazi
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCCA 0 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.0% 5.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.4% 8.3% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.3% 8.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.4% 6.1% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.2% 3.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKCCALugazi
Played22
Form67%50%
Attack27%36%
Defense82%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.54 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 13 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

92%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KCCA Lugazi
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%100%0%50%
Draws0%100%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%

Form: KCCA: DW • Lugazi: WL

League goals

Metric KCCA Lugazi
HATHAT
GF total213314
GF avg2.01.01.53.01.02.0
GA total112123
GA avg1.01.01.01.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKCCALugazi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.550%0%50%50%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKCCALugazi
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricKCCALugazi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKCCALugazi
Wins01
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-1—
Biggest losses———2-1
Goals For2131
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricKCCALugazi
Form57%43%
Att43%57%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h80%20%
Goals86%14%
Total66.3%33.7%

Advice: Double chance : KCCA or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.20 @ Unibet
Away8.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Unibet
No1.57 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KCCA = 2.97 (league 1.35), Lugazi = 1.12 (league 0.90)

Lugazi
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCCA 0 1.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.0% 5.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.4% 8.3% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.3% 8.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.4% 6.1% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.2% 3.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 11.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1