Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 17:00 • St. Mary's Stadium
Match Finished
5 - 1
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.42) 0.73 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.0% 34.5% 27.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.3%
1 - 0
17.7%
0 - 1
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
UPDF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vipers 0 19.3% 14.1% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.7% 12.9% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.1% 5.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVipersUPDF
Played55
Form87%20%
Attack67%42%
Defense83%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vipers UPDF
HATHAT
Played325347
Wins67%100%80%0%50%29%
Draws33%0%20%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%50%71%

Form: Vipers: WWWWD • UPDF: LWLLLWL

League goals

Metric Vipers UPDF
HATHAT
GF total448246
GF avg1.32.01.60.71.00.9
GA total202549
GA avg0.70.00.41.71.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVipersUPDF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%71%71%
1.540%0%14%43%
2.520%0%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVipersUPDF
HATHAT
Clean sheets123022
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricVipersUPDF
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricVipersUPDF
Wins41
Draws00
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-3—0-1
Biggest losses——1-23-2
Goals For2312
Goals Against1023

Model comparison

MetricVipersUPDF
Form81%19%
Att62%38%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h100%0%
Goals86%14%
Total73.8%26.2%

Advice: Double chance : Vipers or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ William Hill
Draw4.60 @ Unibet
Away9.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.55 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vipers = 0.92 (league 1.42), UPDF = 0.73 (league 0.96)

UPDF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vipers 0 19.3% 14.1% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.7% 12.9% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.1% 5.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 27.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1