Premier League
— Uganda
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:00 •
Kakyeka Stadium
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.42)
0.52 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.2% | 49.8% | 31.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
41.8%
0 - 1
21.8%
1 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
| NEC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mbarara City | 0 | 41.8% | 21.8% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mbarara City | NEC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 3 |
| Form | 17% | 22% |
| Attack | 22% | 17% |
| Defense | 67% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mbarara City | NEC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 50% | 67% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 33% |
Form: Mbarara City: DLDL • NEC: DDL
League goals
| Metric | Mbarara City | NEC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mbarara City | NEC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mbarara City | NEC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mbarara City | NEC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mbarara City | NEC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mbarara City | NEC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 14% | 86% |
| Total | 39.8% | 60.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or NEC and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mbarara City = 0.35 (league 1.42), NEC = 0.52 (league 0.96)
| NEC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mbarara City | 0 | 41.8% | 21.8% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.2% · Draw 49.8% · Away win 31.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1