Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 17:00 • Hamz Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.42) 0.80 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.8% 36.6% 34.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.1%
0 - 1
17.8%
1 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Mbarara City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Express 0 22.1% 17.8% 7.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.6% 12.5% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.5% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExpressMbarara City
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack27%36%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Express Mbarara City
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%0%0%0%
Draws0%67%40%33%50%40%
Loses50%33%40%67%50%60%

Form: Express: WLDLD • Mbarara City: DLDLL

League goals

Metric Express Mbarara City
HATHAT
GF total123134
GF avg0.50.70.60.31.50.8
GA total134347
GA avg0.51.00.81.02.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExpressMbarara City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%60%100%
1.50%20%20%20%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExpressMbarara City
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricExpressMbarara City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricExpressMbarara City
Wins10
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0———
Biggest losses0-12-10-13-2
Goals For1112
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricExpressMbarara City
Form71%29%
Att43%57%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Express or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Superbet
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away5.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Unibet
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Express = 0.70 (league 1.42), Mbarara City = 0.80 (league 0.93)

Mbarara City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Express 0 22.1% 17.8% 7.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.6% 12.5% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.5% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.8% · Draw 36.6% · Away win 34.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1