Thu, Nov 6 2025 • 13:00 • Bombo Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.41) 3.11 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.0% 14.5% 61.6%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.7%
1 - 2
7.4%
1 - 4
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Police
0 1 2 3 4 5
UPDF 0 1.1% 3.4% 5.2% 5.4% 4.2% 2.6%
1 1.5% 4.8% 7.4% 7.7% 6.0% 3.7%
2 1.1% 3.4% 5.2% 5.4% 4.2% 2.6%
3 0.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.6% 2.0% 1.2%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUPDFPolice
Played45
Form25%53%
Attack31%62%
Defense54%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.57 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UPDF Police
HATHAT
Played134325
Wins0%33%25%67%0%40%
Draws0%0%0%33%50%40%
Loses100%67%75%0%50%20%

Form: UPDF: LWLL • Police: DWDLW

League goals

Metric UPDF Police
HATHAT
GF total134538
GF avg1.01.01.01.71.51.6
GA total246347
GA avg2.01.31.51.02.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUPDFPolice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%100%100%
1.525%50%60%40%
2.50%25%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUPDFPolice
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricUPDFPolice
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUPDFPolice
Wins11
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-12-1—
Biggest losses1-23-2—2-1
Goals For1222
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricUPDFPolice
Form27%73%
Att33%67%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total31.7%68.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Police

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Bet365
Draw3.05 @ Betano
Away2.70 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UPDF = 1.42 (league 1.41), Police = 3.11 (league 0.97)

Police
0 1 2 3 4 5
UPDF 0 1.1% 3.4% 5.2% 5.4% 4.2% 2.6%
1 1.5% 4.8% 7.4% 7.7% 6.0% 3.7%
2 1.1% 3.4% 5.2% 5.4% 4.2% 2.6%
3 0.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.6% 2.0% 1.2%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.0% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 61.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1