Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 17:00 • MTN Omondi Stadium
Match Finished

NEC

1 - 1

BUL

Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.41) 2.19 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.2% 20.4% 52.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.4%
1 - 3
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
BUL
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC 0 2.7% 6.0% 6.5% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1%
1 3.9% 8.4% 9.2% 6.7% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.7% 6.0% 6.5% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.3% 2.8% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNECBUL
Played45
Form42%60%
Attack25%31%
Defense75%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NEC BUL
HATHAT
Played134415
Wins0%33%25%50%0%40%
Draws100%33%50%50%100%60%
Loses0%33%25%0%0%0%

Form: NEC: DDLW • BUL: DWDWD

League goals

Metric NEC BUL
HATHAT
GF total224415
GF avg2.00.71.01.01.01.0
GA total224011
GA avg2.00.71.00.01.00.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNECBUL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%60%20%
1.525%25%20%0%
2.50%0%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNECBUL
HATHAT
Clean sheets011404
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricNECBUL
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNECBUL
Wins01
Draws21
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-13-0—
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For2131
Goals Against2101

Model comparison

MetricNECBUL
Form36%64%
Att44%56%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h67%33%
Goals57%43%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or BUL

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NEC = 1.42 (league 1.41), BUL = 2.19 (league 0.91)

BUL
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC 0 2.7% 6.0% 6.5% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1%
1 3.9% 8.4% 9.2% 6.7% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.7% 6.0% 6.5% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.3% 2.8% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.2% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 52.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1