Thu, Nov 20 2025 • 13:00 • Lugazi FC Stadium
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.42) 0.73 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.7% 21.3% 13.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Express
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugazi 0 7.2% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.6% 10.0% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLugaziExpress
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack46%46%
Defense38%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugazi Express
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%0%33%67%0%33%
Draws33%33%33%0%67%33%
Loses0%67%33%33%33%33%

Form: Lugazi: WLDDLW • Express: WLDLDW

League goals

Metric Lugazi Express
HATHAT
GF total819527
GF avg2.70.31.51.70.71.2
GA total369235
GA avg1.02.01.50.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLugaziExpress
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%67%67%67%
1.533%50%17%17%
2.533%17%17%0%
3.517%17%17%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLugaziExpress
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricLugaziExpress
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLugaziExpress
Wins11
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-2—4-1—
Biggest losses—4-00-12-1
Goals For5141
Goals Against2412

Model comparison

MetricLugaziExpress
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Lugazi or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Unibet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lugazi = 1.90 (league 1.42), Express = 0.73 (league 0.95)

Express
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugazi 0 7.2% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.6% 10.0% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.7% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 13.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1