Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 17:00 • MTN Omondi Stadium
Match Finished
2 - 1

URA

Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.40) 0.82 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.5% 32.4% 29.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.1%
1 - 0
16.1%
0 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
URA
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCCA 0 16.1% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.1% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.1% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKCCAURA
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack100%71%
Defense43%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

43%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KCCA URA
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%33%50%33%0%17%
Draws33%33%33%67%100%83%
Loses0%33%17%0%0%0%

Form: KCCA: DWDWWL • URA: DDDDWD

League goals

Metric KCCA URA
HATHAT
GF total628505
GF avg2.00.71.31.70.00.8
GA total325404
GA avg1.00.70.81.30.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKCCAURA
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%50%50%
1.533%17%17%17%
2.517%0%17%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKCCAURA
HATHAT
Clean sheets112033
Failed to score112033

Penalties

MetricKCCAURA
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricKCCAURA
Wins21
Draws14
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-13-2—
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For4130
Goals Against2120

Model comparison

MetricKCCAURA
Form59%41%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total49.4%50.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or URA and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away4.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ Unibet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KCCA = 1.00 (league 1.40), URA = 0.82 (league 0.97)

URA
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCCA 0 16.1% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.1% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.1% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.5% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 29.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1