Thu, Nov 20 2025 • 17:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
2 - 1

NEC

Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.42) 0.51 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.7% 42.8% 24.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.5%
1 - 0
20.2%
0 - 1
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
NEC
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Villa 0 31.5% 16.2% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.2% 10.4% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC VillaNEC
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack62%38%
Defense69%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Villa NEC
HATHAT
Played325235
Wins67%50%60%0%33%20%
Draws33%0%20%100%33%60%
Loses0%50%20%0%33%20%

Form: SC Villa: LDWWW • NEC: DDLWD

League goals

Metric SC Villa NEC
HATHAT
GF total448325
GF avg1.32.01.61.50.71.0
GA total224325
GA avg0.71.00.81.50.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC VillaNEC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%80%80%
1.540%20%20%20%
2.520%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC VillaNEC
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricSC VillaNEC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSC VillaNEC
Wins01
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-3—0-1
Biggest losses—2-1—1-0
Goals For2321
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricSC VillaNEC
Form63%38%
Att62%38%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total59.5%40.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : SC Villa or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away4.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Villa = 0.64 (league 1.42), NEC = 0.51 (league 0.95)

NEC
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Villa 0 31.5% 16.2% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.2% 10.4% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.7% · Draw 42.8% · Away win 24.5%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1