Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 13:00 • Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.41) 0.32 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.1% 36.2% 11.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.1%
1 - 0
26.8%
2 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Lugazi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maroons 0 27.1% 8.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.8% 8.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.3% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaroonsLugazi
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack33%42%
Defense58%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

38%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maroons Lugazi
HATHAT
Played246437
Wins0%25%17%50%0%29%
Draws100%0%33%50%33%43%
Loses0%75%50%0%67%29%

Form: Maroons: LWDLDL • Lugazi: WLDDLWD

League goals

Metric Maroons Lugazi
HATHAT
GF total044819
GF avg0.01.00.72.00.31.3
GA total066369
GA avg0.01.51.00.82.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaroonsLugazi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%67%43%57%
1.517%33%29%43%
2.50%0%29%14%
3.50%0%14%14%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaroonsLugazi
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score213224

Penalties

MetricMaroonsLugazi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMaroonsLugazi
Wins11
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-25-2—
Biggest losses—2-1—4-0
Goals For0251
Goals Against0224

Model comparison

MetricMaroonsLugazi
Form45%55%
Att44%56%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Maroons or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ 1xBet
Away4.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 888Sport
No1.71 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maroons = 0.99 (league 1.41), Lugazi = 0.32 (league 0.95)

Lugazi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maroons 0 27.1% 8.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.8% 8.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.3% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.1% · Draw 36.2% · Away win 11.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1