Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 13:00 • Bombo Stadium
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.42) 4.29 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.2% 4.9% 66.8%
best score tips
0 - 4
9.6%
0 - 3
8.9%
0 - 5
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
SC Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
UPDF 0 0.7% 2.9% 6.2% 8.9% 9.6% 8.2%
1 0.5% 2.0% 4.4% 6.3% 6.7% 5.8%
2 0.2% 0.7% 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 2.0%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUPDFSC Villa
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack50%75%
Defense42%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UPDF SC Villa
HATHAT
Played246426
Wins0%50%33%75%50%67%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%17%
Loses100%50%67%0%50%17%

Form: UPDF: LWLLLW • SC Villa: LDWWWW

League goals

Metric UPDF SC Villa
HATHAT
GF total2466410
GF avg1.01.01.01.52.01.7
GA total448325
GA avg2.01.01.30.81.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUPDFSC Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%100%67%
1.517%50%50%17%
2.50%17%17%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUPDFSC Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricUPDFSC Villa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUPDFSC Villa
Wins10
Draws01
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-12-10-3
Biggest losses1-23-2—2-1
Goals For1223
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricUPDFSC Villa
Form32%68%
Att40%60%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution15%85%
H2h20%80%
Goals14%86%
Total25.2%74.8%

Advice: Winner : SC Villa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ 1xBet
Draw3.11 @ Pinnacle
Away2.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ 1xBet
No1.78 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UPDF = 0.70 (league 1.42), SC Villa = 4.29 (league 0.93)

SC Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
UPDF 0 0.7% 2.9% 6.2% 8.9% 9.6% 8.2%
1 0.5% 2.0% 4.4% 6.3% 6.7% 5.8%
2 0.2% 0.7% 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 2.0%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.2% · Draw 4.9% · Away win 66.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1