Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 13:00 • Rwamwanja Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.15 (league 1.42) 0.73 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.0% 46.0% 47.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
41.4%
0 - 1
30.4%
0 - 2
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
KCCA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mbarara City 0 41.4% 30.4% 11.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.1% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMbarara CityKCCA
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack32%37%
Defense47%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mbarara City KCCA
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%25%14%75%33%57%
Draws33%25%29%25%33%29%
Loses67%50%57%0%33%14%

Form: Mbarara City: DLDLLLW • KCCA: DWDWWLW

League goals

Metric Mbarara City KCCA
HATHAT
GF total1678210
GF avg0.31.51.02.00.71.4
GA total3912426
GA avg1.02.31.71.00.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMbarara CityKCCA
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%100%71%71%
1.529%29%43%14%
2.50%29%14%0%
3.50%14%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMbarara CityKCCA
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score202112

Penalties

MetricMbarara CityKCCA
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMbarara CityKCCA
Wins02
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-24-20-1
Biggest losses0-14-1—1-0
Goals For1241
Goals Against1421

Model comparison

MetricMbarara CityKCCA
Form29%71%
Att46%54%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total29.7%70.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or KCCA

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.00 @ Betfair
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.59 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Mbarara City = 0.15 (league 1.42), KCCA = 0.73 (league 0.95)

KCCA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mbarara City 0 41.4% 30.4% 11.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.1% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.0% · Draw 46.0% · Away win 47.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1