Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 16:00 • MTN Omondi Stadium
Match Finished

NEC

1 - 0
Expected Goals
2.46 (league 1.40) 1.25 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.9% 18.2% 17.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
3 - 1
7.6%
1 - 1
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Calvary
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC 0 2.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.0% 7.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.3% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.1% 7.6% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.7% 4.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNECCalvary
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack42%33%
Defense50%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric NEC Calvary
HATHAT
Played246246
Wins0%25%17%0%0%0%
Draws100%25%50%0%25%17%
Loses0%50%33%100%75%83%

Form: NEC: DDLWDL • Calvary: LLDLLL

League goals

Metric NEC Calvary
HATHAT
GF total336235
GF avg1.50.81.01.00.80.8
GA total3475914
GA avg1.51.01.22.52.32.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNECCalvary
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%50%83%
1.517%33%33%67%
2.50%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNECCalvary
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricNECCalvary
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNECCalvary
Wins10
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-1——
Biggest losses—2-12-44-2
Goals For2122
Goals Against2244

Model comparison

MetricNECCalvary
Form83%17%
Att56%44%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total68.0%32.0%

Advice: Double chance : NEC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ Unibet
Draw5.50 @ Betfair
Away14.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.71 @ Marathonbet
No1.58 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): NEC = 2.46 (league 1.40), Calvary = 1.25 (league 0.96)

Calvary
0 1 2 3 4 5
NEC 0 2.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.0% 7.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.3% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.1% 7.6% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.7% 4.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.9% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 17.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1