Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 13:00 • Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.42) 0.47 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.2% 45.6% 24.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.5%
1 - 0
20.0%
0 - 1
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
SC Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maroons 0 35.5% 16.8% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 9.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaroonsSC Villa
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack38%50%
Defense69%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maroons SC Villa
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%25%25%75%50%63%
Draws75%0%38%25%25%25%
Loses0%75%38%0%25%13%

Form: Maroons: LWDLDLWD • SC Villa: LDWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Maroons SC Villa
HATHAT
GF total4486612
GF avg1.01.01.01.51.51.5
GA total167336
GA avg0.31.50.90.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaroonsSC Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%100%63%
1.525%25%38%13%
2.513%0%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaroonsSC Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets303123
Failed to score213000

Penalties

MetricMaroonsSC Villa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMaroonsSC Villa
Wins15
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-10-3
Biggest losses—2-1—2-1
Goals For3223
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricMaroonsSC Villa
Form28%72%
Att43%57%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Maroons or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maroons = 0.56 (league 1.42), SC Villa = 0.47 (league 0.95)

SC Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maroons 0 35.5% 16.8% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.0% 9.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.2% · Draw 45.6% · Away win 24.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1