Premier League
— Uganda
Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 13:00 •
Lugazi FC Stadium
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.42)
1.54 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.5% | 22.5% | 32.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lugazi | 0 | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lugazi | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 80% |
| Attack | 63% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lugazi | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 22% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
| Draws | 50% | 20% | 33% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Loses | 0% | 80% | 44% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
Form: Lugazi: WLDDLWDLL • Police: DWDLWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Lugazi | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lugazi | Police | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 100% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 56% | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 22% | 11% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lugazi | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lugazi | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lugazi | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | — | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lugazi | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Police
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lugazi = 1.83 (league 1.42), Police = 1.54 (league 0.93)
| Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lugazi | 0 | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 32.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1