Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 17:00 • MTN Omondi Stadium
Match Finished
2 - 1

NEC

Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.42) 0.86 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.5% 27.3% 22.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
NEC
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCCA 0 10.4% 8.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.6% 12.5% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 8.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.8% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKCCANEC
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack91%45%
Defense45%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KCCA NEC
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins75%60%67%25%20%22%
Draws25%20%22%75%40%56%
Loses0%20%11%0%40%22%

Form: KCCA: DWDWWLWWW • NEC: DDLWDLWDD

League goals

Metric KCCA NEC
HATHAT
GF total8614549
GF avg2.01.21.61.30.81.0
GA total448459
GA avg1.00.80.91.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKCCANEC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%89%78%
1.556%11%11%22%
2.511%0%0%0%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKCCANEC
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricKCCANEC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricKCCANEC
Wins21
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-21-00-1
Biggest losses—1-0—2-1
Goals For4221
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricKCCANEC
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h25%75%
Goals43%57%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : KCCA or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Superbet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KCCA = 1.41 (league 1.42), NEC = 0.86 (league 0.93)

NEC
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCCA 0 10.4% 8.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.6% 12.5% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 8.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.8% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.5% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 22.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1