Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 13:00 • Rwamwanja Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.42) 0.26 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.0% 56.3% 15.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
50.7%
1 - 0
21.4%
0 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
URA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mbarara City 0 50.7% 13.0% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.4% 5.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMbarara CityURA
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack55%73%
Defense18%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mbarara City URA
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins0%20%10%40%0%20%
Draws40%40%40%40%60%50%
Loses60%40%50%20%40%30%

Form: Mbarara City: DLDLLLWLDD • URA: DDDDWDLWLL

League goals

Metric Mbarara City URA
HATHAT
GF total371012113
GF avg0.61.41.02.40.21.3
GA total610168513
GA avg1.22.01.61.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMbarara CityURA
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%100%50%70%
1.520%30%20%40%
2.50%20%20%20%
3.50%10%10%0%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMbarara CityURA
HATHAT
Clean sheets000033
Failed to score202145

Penalties

MetricMbarara CityURA
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMbarara CityURA
Wins11
Draws14
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-27-3—
Biggest losses1-24-10-13-0
Goals For1271
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricMbarara CityURA
Form56%44%
Att43%57%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h25%75%
Goals14%86%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or URA

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Superbet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mbarara City = 0.42 (league 1.42), URA = 0.26 (league 0.93)

URA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mbarara City 0 50.7% 13.0% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.4% 5.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.0% · Draw 56.3% · Away win 15.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1