Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 17:00 • St. Mary's Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.54 (league 1.36) 1.30 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.1% 11.5% 9.5%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.6%
4 - 1
6.7%
2 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mbarara City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vipers 0 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.8% 3.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.0% 6.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.2% 6.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
5 3.7% 4.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVipersMbarara City
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack100%100%
Defense33%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vipers Mbarara City
HATHAT
Played55106511
Wins80%60%70%17%20%18%
Draws20%40%30%33%40%36%
Loses0%0%0%50%40%45%

Form: Vipers: WWWWDWDDWW • Mbarara City: DLDLLLWLDDW

League goals

Metric Vipers Mbarara City
HATHAT
GF total127194711
GF avg2.41.41.90.71.41.0
GA total42661016
GA avg0.80.40.61.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVipersMbarara City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%82%91%
1.550%0%18%27%
2.530%0%0%18%
3.510%0%0%9%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVipersMbarara City
HATHAT
Clean sheets134101
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricVipersMbarara City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricVipersMbarara City
Wins41
Draws22
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-31-01-2
Biggest losses——1-24-1
Goals For5312
Goals Against1124

Model comparison

MetricVipersMbarara City
Form58%42%
Att65%35%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h93%7%
Goals83%17%
Total71.2%28.8%

Advice: Double chance : Vipers or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ Bet365
Draw6.10 @ Unibet
Away17.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.70 @ Unibet
No1.44 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vipers = 3.54 (league 1.36), Mbarara City = 1.30 (league 0.86)

Mbarara City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vipers 0 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.8% 3.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.0% 6.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
3 5.9% 7.6% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.2% 6.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
5 3.7% 4.8% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.1% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 9.5%

vtt 4 , vtd1