Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 13:00 • The Royals Park
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
2.89 (league 1.37) 0.84 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.9% 12.8% 7.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.1%
3 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
UPDF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kitara 0 2.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.9% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.1% 8.4% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.7% 8.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.0% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKitaraUPDF
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack86%71%
Defense71%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kitara UPDF
HATHAT
Played55105611
Wins80%40%60%20%33%27%
Draws20%0%10%20%17%18%
Loses0%60%30%60%50%55%

Form: Kitara: DLWWLWWWWL • UPDF: LWLLLWLLWDD

League goals

Metric Kitara UPDF
HATHAT
GF total113144711
GF avg2.20.61.40.81.21.0
GA total34751116
GA avg0.60.80.71.01.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKitaraUPDF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%60%73%64%
1.540%10%27%45%
2.520%0%0%18%
3.510%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKitaraUPDF
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score033213

Penalties

MetricKitaraUPDF
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricKitaraUPDF
Wins41
Draws10
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-22-00-1
Biggest losses—1-01-25-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against2125

Model comparison

MetricKitaraUPDF
Form71%29%
Att55%45%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h71%29%
Goals82%18%
Total72.8%27.2%

Advice: Double chance : Kitara or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.41 @ Unibet
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away8.80 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Marathonbet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kitara = 2.89 (league 1.37), UPDF = 0.84 (league 0.86)

UPDF
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kitara 0 2.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.9% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.1% 8.4% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.7% 8.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.0% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.9% · Draw 12.8% · Away win 7.9%

vtt 7 , vtd1