Premier League
— Uganda
Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.78 (league 1.43)
0.78 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5% | 13.3% | 7.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.9%
3 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| UPDF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kitara | 0 | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kitara | UPDF |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 33% |
| Attack | 60% | 50% |
| Defense | 80% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kitara | UPDF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 80% | 40% | 60% | 20% | 33% | 27% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 17% | 18% |
| Loses | 0% | 60% | 30% | 60% | 50% | 55% |
Form: Kitara: DLWWLWWWWL • UPDF: LWLLLWLLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Kitara | UPDF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kitara | UPDF | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 60% | 73% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 10% | 27% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kitara | UPDF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kitara | UPDF |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kitara | UPDF |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kitara | UPDF |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 82% | 18% |
| Total | 72.8% | 27.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Kitara or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Kitara = 2.78 (league 1.43), UPDF = 0.78 (league 0.92)
| UPDF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kitara | 0 | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.9% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.5% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 7.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1