Premier League
— Uganda
Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 17:00 •
MTN Omondi Stadium
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.31)
0.24 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.4% | 14.1% | 3.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
21.1%
1 - 0
19.4%
3 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Lugazi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| NEC | 0 | 8.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.4% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.1% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.4% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | NEC | Lugazi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 13% |
| Attack | 57% | 29% |
| Defense | 43% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | NEC | Lugazi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 25% | 14% | 18% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Draws | 75% | 43% | 55% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
| Loses | 0% | 43% | 27% | 17% | 80% | 45% |
NECDDLWDLWDDLD
LugaziWLDDLWDLLDL
League goals
| Metric | NEC | Lugazi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | NEC | Lugazi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 73% | 45% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 9% | 27% | 18% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 18% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | NEC | Lugazi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | NEC | Lugazi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | NEC | Lugazi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 5-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | NEC | Lugazi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 69.2% | 30.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.48 @ Bet365
Draw4.00 @ Superbet
Away7.65 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.32 @ Superbet
No1.57 @ William Hill
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League standings
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