Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 13:00 • Kiira Road Police Arena
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
3.10 (league 1.36) 0.37 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.4% 7.9% 2.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
15.4%
2 - 0
15.0%
4 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Calvary
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police 0 3.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.7% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.0% 5.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.4% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.9% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.4% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPoliceCalvary
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack100%14%
Defense43%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Police Calvary
HATHAT
Played66125712
Wins67%50%58%0%0%0%
Draws17%33%25%40%14%25%
Loses17%17%17%60%86%75%

Form: Police: DWDLWWWLWDWW • Calvary: LLDLLLLLDDLL

League goals

Metric Police Calvary
HATHAT
GF total121123336
GF avg2.01.81.90.60.40.5
GA total571271522
GA avg0.81.21.01.42.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePoliceCalvary
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%33%83%
1.567%25%17%42%
2.517%0%0%33%
3.58%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPoliceCalvary
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score000358

Penalties

MetricPoliceCalvary
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPoliceCalvary
Wins30
Draws12
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-3——
Biggest losses1-22-12-44-0
Goals For4322
Goals Against2244

Model comparison

MetricPoliceCalvary
Form83%17%
Att92%8%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total81.8%18.3%

Advice: Winner : Police

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ Bet365
Draw5.35 @ Pinnacle
Away12.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Police = 3.10 (league 1.36), Calvary = 0.37 (league 0.86)

Calvary
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police 0 3.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.7% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.0% 5.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.4% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.9% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.4% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.4% · Draw 7.9% · Away win 2.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1