Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 13:00 • Lugazi FC Stadium
Match Finished
2 - 1

BUL

Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.36) 0.93 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.2% 26.1% 23.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
BUL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugazi 0 8.8% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.2% 12.3% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.2% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLugaziBUL
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack13%38%
Defense63%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugazi BUL
HATHAT
Played67138513
Wins33%0%15%38%20%31%
Draws50%29%38%25%40%31%
Loses17%71%46%38%40%38%

Form: Lugazi: WLDDLWDLLDLLD • BUL: DWDWDDLLLLLWW

League goals

Metric Lugazi BUL
HATHAT
GF total101118412
GF avg1.70.10.81.00.80.9
GA total612188614
GA avg1.01.71.41.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLugaziBUL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%69%69%62%
1.515%46%15%31%
2.515%15%8%15%
3.58%8%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLugaziBUL
HATHAT
Clean sheets224415
Failed to score268314

Penalties

MetricLugaziBUL
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLugaziBUL
Wins11
Draws22
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-2—3-00-1
Biggest losses1-24-01-33-1
Goals For5131
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricLugaziBUL
Form25%75%
Att25%75%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or BUL

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.38 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.35 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lugazi = 1.50 (league 1.36), BUL = 0.93 (league 0.86)

BUL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugazi 0 8.8% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.2% 12.3% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.2% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.2% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 23.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1