Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 13:00 • MTN Omondi Stadium
Match Finished
4 - 0
Expected Goals
2.50 (league 1.37) 1.03 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.2% 17.0% 13.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
9.2%
3 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
UPDF
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCCA 0 2.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.3% 7.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.4% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.8% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKCCAUPDF
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack31%31%
Defense75%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KCCA UPDF
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins83%43%62%17%29%23%
Draws17%29%23%17%14%15%
Loses0%29%15%67%57%62%

Form: KCCA: DWDWWLWWWWWLD • UPDF: LWLLLWLLWDDLL

League goals

Metric KCCA UPDF
HATHAT
GF total116174812
GF avg1.80.91.30.71.10.9
GA total561161319
GA avg0.80.90.81.01.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKCCAUPDF
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%69%69%
1.546%15%23%46%
2.58%0%0%15%
3.58%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKCCAUPDF
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score134314

Penalties

MetricKCCAUPDF
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricKCCAUPDF
Wins51
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-22-00-1
Biggest losses—2-01-25-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against2225

Model comparison

MetricKCCAUPDF
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total65.7%34.3%

Advice: Double chance : KCCA or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ Bet365
Draw4.53 @ Pinnacle
Away9.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.05 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Marathonbet
No1.85 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KCCA = 2.50 (league 1.37), UPDF = 1.03 (league 0.86)

UPDF
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCCA 0 2.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.3% 7.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.4% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.8% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.2% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 13.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1