Premier League
— Uganda
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 13:00 •
The Royals Park
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.42)
1.36 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.8% | 22.3% | 27.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Mbarara City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Buhimba Saints | 0 | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Buhimba Saints | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 7% |
| Attack | 71% | 57% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Buhimba Saints | Mbarara City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Form: Buhimba Saints: WWWLLL • Mbarara City: DLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Buhimba Saints | Mbarara City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Buhimba Saints | Mbarara City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 50% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 17% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Buhimba Saints | Mbarara City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Buhimba Saints | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Buhimba Saints | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Buhimba Saints | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 48% | 52% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Buhimba Saints or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Buhimba Saints = 1.90 (league 1.42), Mbarara City = 1.36 (league 0.95)
| Mbarara City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Buhimba Saints | 0 | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.8% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 27.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1