Wed, Oct 1 2025 • 18:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.47) 0.05 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.3% 26.2% 1.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
33.2%
0 - 0
24.5%
2 - 0
22.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sao Luis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luminense 0 24.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.2% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuminenseSao Luis
Played33
Form78%78%
Attack40%80%
Defense100%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 212 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luminense Sao Luis
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%100%0%67%
Draws0%50%33%0%100%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Luminense: DWW • Sao Luis: WDW

League goals

Metric Luminense Sao Luis
HATHAT
GF total24611112
GF avg2.02.02.05.51.04.0
GA total000011
GA avg0.00.00.00.01.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuminenseSao Luis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%0%100%33%
1.567%0%67%0%
2.533%0%67%0%
3.533%0%67%0%
4.50%0%67%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuminenseSao Luis
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricLuminenseSao Luis
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLuminenseSao Luis
Wins01
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-46-0—
Biggest losses————
Goals For2461
Goals Against0001

Model comparison

MetricLuminenseSao Luis
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : Luminense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.74 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ 1xBet
Away2.32 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.06 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ 1xBet
No2.25 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Luminense = 1.36 (league 1.47), Sao Luis = 0.05 (league 1.00)

Sao Luis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luminense 0 24.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.2% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.3% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 1.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1