Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 02:00 • Keith Hay Park F1
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 2.00) 1.54 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.5% 25.6% 49.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Wellington Phoenix II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auckland United 0 7.9% 12.2% 9.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.9% 12.2% 9.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
2 3.9% 6.1% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAuckland UnitedWellington Phoenix II
Played23
Form17%33%
Attack18%64%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 17 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 27 | 2.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Auckland United Wellington Phoenix II
HATHAT
Played112213
Wins0%0%0%50%0%33%
Draws0%100%50%0%0%0%
Loses100%0%50%50%100%67%

Form: Auckland United: LD • Wellington Phoenix II: LLW

League goals

Metric Auckland United Wellington Phoenix II
HATHAT
GF total022617
GF avg0.02.01.03.01.02.3
GA total224527
GA avg2.02.02.02.52.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAuckland UnitedWellington Phoenix II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%67%
1.550%100%67%67%
2.50%0%67%33%
3.50%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAuckland UnitedWellington Phoenix II
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricAuckland UnitedWellington Phoenix II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAuckland UnitedWellington Phoenix II
Wins00
Draws00
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0
Biggest losses0-23-52-1
Goals For0231
Goals Against2252

Model comparison

MetricAuckland UnitedWellington Phoenix II
Form25%75%
Att22%78%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h20%80%
Goals45%55%
Total35.2%64.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Wellington Phoenix II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ 10Bet
Draw4.85 @ Pinnacle
Away3.68 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.42 @ Pinnacle
No2.95 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Auckland United = 1.00 (league 2.00), Wellington Phoenix II = 1.54 (league 1.30)

Wellington Phoenix II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auckland United 0 7.9% 12.2% 9.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.9% 12.2% 9.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
2 3.9% 6.1% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 49.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1