Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 00:00 • Fraser Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.36 (league 1.95) 0.73 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.6% 4.8% 2.2%
best score tips
4 - 0
9.2%
3 - 0
8.5%
5 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Coastal Spirit
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wellington Phoenix II 0 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.5% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.2% 6.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.1% 5.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWellington Phoenix IICoastal Spirit
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack28%17%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wellington Phoenix II Coastal Spirit
HATHAT
Played336437
Wins33%0%17%0%33%14%
Draws0%33%17%25%0%14%
Loses67%67%67%75%67%71%

Form: Wellington Phoenix II: LLWDLL • Coastal Spirit: LLLWDLL

League goals

Metric Wellington Phoenix II Coastal Spirit
HATHAT
GF total718314
GF avg2.30.31.30.80.30.6
GA total951481119
GA avg3.01.72.32.03.72.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWellington Phoenix IICoastal Spirit
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%57%71%
1.533%67%0%71%
2.533%50%0%57%
3.50%33%0%14%
4.50%17%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWellington Phoenix IICoastal Spirit
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricWellington Phoenix IICoastal Spirit
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWellington Phoenix IICoastal Spirit
Wins11
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0——0-1
Biggest losses1-43-01-38-0
Goals For3111
Goals Against5338

Model comparison

MetricWellington Phoenix IICoastal Spirit
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total62.0%38.3%

Advice: Winner : Wellington Phoenix II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 188Bet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away3.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Pinnacle
No3.20 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Wellington Phoenix II = 4.36 (league 1.95), Coastal Spirit = 0.73 (league 1.23)

Coastal Spirit
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wellington Phoenix II 0 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.5% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.2% 6.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.1% 5.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.6% · Draw 4.8% · Away win 2.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1