Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 02:00 • Keith Hay Park F1
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.85) 2.33 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.0% 19.7% 50.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Wellington Olympic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auckland United 0 1.9% 4.5% 5.2% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1%
1 3.1% 7.3% 8.5% 6.6% 3.8% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.9% 6.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.4% 3.2% 3.7% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAuckland UnitedWellington Olympic
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack75%67%
Defense25%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Auckland United Wellington Olympic
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%0%25%50%75%63%
Draws25%25%25%0%0%0%
Loses25%75%50%50%25%38%

Form: Auckland United: LDDLWLWL • Wellington Olympic: WWWLWWLL

League goals

Metric Auckland United Wellington Olympic
HATHAT
GF total651151318
GF avg1.51.31.41.33.32.3
GA total49135813
GA avg1.02.31.61.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAuckland UnitedWellington Olympic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%88%88%
1.550%63%63%50%
2.525%13%38%25%
3.50%13%25%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAuckland UnitedWellington Olympic
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricAuckland UnitedWellington Olympic
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAuckland UnitedWellington Olympic
Wins13
Draws20
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—2-13-5
Biggest losses0-24-22-32-1
Goals For3225
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricAuckland UnitedWellington Olympic
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h0%100%
Goals29%71%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Wellington Olympic

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.36 @ Pinnacle
Away2.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.34 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.40 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.32 @ Pinnacle
No3.38 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Auckland United = 1.62 (league 1.85), Wellington Olympic = 2.33 (league 1.42)

Wellington Olympic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auckland United 0 1.9% 4.5% 5.2% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1%
1 3.1% 7.3% 8.5% 6.6% 3.8% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.9% 6.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.4% 3.2% 3.7% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 50.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1