Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 02:00 •
Fraser Park
Expected Goals
2.70 (league 1.85)
2.11 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.7% | 18.1% | 28.6% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.6%
2 - 1
6.3%
3 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Birkenhead United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wellington Phoenix II | 0 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix II | Birkenhead United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 17% | 67% |
| Defense | 25% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix II | Birkenhead United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 75% | 63% | 50% | 75% | 63% |
Form: Wellington Phoenix II: LLWDLLWL • Birkenhead United: WWLLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix II | Birkenhead United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Wellington Phoenix II | Birkenhead United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 63% | 88% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 63% | 63% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 38% | 25% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix II | Birkenhead United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix II | Birkenhead United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix II | Birkenhead United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix II | Birkenhead United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 61% | 39% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.5% | 51.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Wellington Phoenix II or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Wellington Phoenix II = 2.70 (league 1.85), Birkenhead United = 2.11 (league 1.42)
| Birkenhead United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wellington Phoenix II | 0 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 28.6%
vtt 2 , vtd1