Liga 1 — Indonesia
Sun, Dec 28 2025 • 08:30 • Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.50) 1.40 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.2% 19.9% 22.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Persijap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persebaya Surabaya 0 2.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.8% 8.1% 5.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.2% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.9% 6.9% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.8% 3.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPersijap
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack40%40%
Defense60%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Persebaya Surabaya Persijap
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins43%14%29%13%17%14%
Draws29%71%50%25%17%21%
Loses29%14%21%63%67%64%

Form: Persebaya Surabaya: LWWLWDLDWDDDDD • Persijap: DWLDWLLLLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Persebaya Surabaya Persijap
HATHAT
GF total125177714
GF avg1.70.71.20.91.21.0
GA total10515121224
GA avg1.40.71.11.52.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePersebaya SurabayaPersijap
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%79%93%
1.521%21%21%64%
2.57%7%0%14%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPersijap
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPersijap
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPersijap
Wins21
Draws11
Losses18

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-12-11-2
Biggest losses1-31-00-23-1
Goals For5122
Goals Against3123

Model comparison

MetricPersebaya SurabayaPersijap
Form83%17%
Att50%50%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total64.5%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Persebaya Surabaya or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Betano
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away4.75 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Persebaya Surabaya = 2.27 (league 1.50), Persijap = 1.40 (league 1.20)

Persijap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Persebaya Surabaya 0 2.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.8% 8.1% 5.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.2% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.9% 6.9% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.8% 3.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.2% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 22.8%

vtt 8 , vtd1