Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:00 • Veritas Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.66) 0.78 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 28.5% 21.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
KuPS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter Turku 0 12.3% 9.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 12.6% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.7% 8.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricInter TurkuKuPS
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack33%87%
Defense73%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Inter Turku KuPS
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins58%54%56%77%42%60%
Draws42%23%32%0%42%20%
Loses0%23%12%23%17%20%

Form: Inter Turku: DWWWDDWWWDWDDWWDWWWLLWWDL • KuPS: DWWWWWWWLLDLLWWDDWWWWDLWW

League goals

Metric Inter Turku KuPS
HATHAT
GF total262349291948
GF avg2.21.82.02.21.61.9
GA total91322171229
GA avg0.81.00.91.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineInter TurkuKuPS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%64%80%68%
1.556%24%56%32%
2.532%0%36%12%
3.516%0%12%4%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricInter TurkuKuPS
HATHAT
Clean sheets459538
Failed to score213235

Penalties

MetricInter TurkuKuPS
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricInter TurkuKuPS
Wins37
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-46-20-4
Biggest losses—2-10-33-0
Goals For5464
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricInter TurkuKuPS
Form41%59%
Att28%72%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or KuPS

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away3.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Inter Turku = 1.32 (league 1.66), KuPS = 0.78 (league 1.65)

KuPS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Inter Turku 0 12.3% 9.5% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.2% 12.6% 4.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.7% 8.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 21.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1