Wed, Nov 26 2025 • 11:00 • Mkwakwani Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.42) 1.07 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.1% 33.1% 47.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.9%
0 - 0
19.5%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Mbeya City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coastal Union 0 19.5% 20.9% 11.2% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.0% 11.8% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCoastal UnionMbeya City
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack60%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Coastal Union Mbeya City
HATHAT
Played325347
Wins33%0%20%0%50%29%
Draws33%50%40%67%0%29%
Loses33%50%40%33%50%43%

Form: Coastal Union: WLLDD • Mbeya City: WLDWLDL

League goals

Metric Coastal Union Mbeya City
HATHAT
GF total303347
GF avg1.00.00.61.01.01.0
GA total325437
GA avg1.01.01.01.30.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCoastal UnionMbeya City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%57%57%
1.50%40%29%43%
2.50%0%14%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCoastal UnionMbeya City
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricCoastal UnionMbeya City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCoastal UnionMbeya City
Wins11
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0——0-3
Biggest losses1-22-01-22-0
Goals For1023
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricCoastal UnionMbeya City
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h71%29%
Goals54%46%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mbeya City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away4.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Marathonbet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Coastal Union = 0.56 (league 1.42), Mbeya City = 1.07 (league 0.93)

Mbeya City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coastal Union 0 19.5% 20.9% 11.2% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.0% 11.8% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 47.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1