Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 11:00 • Sokoine Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.42) 0.42 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.7% 31.2% 13.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.8%
0 - 0
19.9%
2 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Namungo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mbeya City 0 19.9% 8.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.8% 10.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 6.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMbeya CityNamungo
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack75%50%
Defense13%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mbeya City Namungo
HATHAT
Played358437
Wins0%40%25%50%0%29%
Draws67%0%25%50%33%43%
Loses33%60%50%0%67%29%

Form: Mbeya City: WLDWLDLL • Namungo: DWLDLDW

League goals

Metric Mbeya City Namungo
HATHAT
GF total347516
GF avg1.00.80.91.30.30.9
GA total459257
GA avg1.31.01.10.51.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMbeya CityNamungo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%63%71%71%
1.525%50%14%14%
2.513%0%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMbeya CityNamungo
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score134022

Penalties

MetricMbeya CityNamungo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMbeya CityNamungo
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-32-0—
Biggest losses1-22-0—3-0
Goals For2321
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricMbeya CityNamungo
Form44%56%
Att60%40%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : Mbeya City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.60 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mbeya City = 1.20 (league 1.42), Namungo = 0.42 (league 0.93)

Namungo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mbeya City 0 19.9% 8.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.8% 10.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 6.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.7% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 13.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1