Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 16:00 •
Manungu Stadium
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.34)
0.16 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9% | 24.8% | 3.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
28.9%
2 - 0
21.0%
0 - 0
19.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Pamba Jiji | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mtibwa Sugar | 0 | 19.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.9% | 4.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.0% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Pamba Jiji |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 56% | 56% |
| Defense | 67% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
47%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
49%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Pamba Jiji | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 0% | 30% | 60% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 25% | 67% | 50% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 22% |
Mtibwa SugarLWDDLDWDDW
Pamba JijiDLDWLDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Pamba Jiji | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mtibwa Sugar | Pamba Jiji | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 50% | 56% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 10% | 22% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Pamba Jiji | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Pamba Jiji |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Pamba Jiji |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Pamba Jiji |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.5% | 42.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.12 @ Dafabet
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away3.80 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.55 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.00 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
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League standings
Loading standings…