Fri, Feb 13 2026 • 15:30 •
Manungu Stadium
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.34)
0.06 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.4% | 19.6% | 1.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
29.5%
2 - 0
24.6%
0 - 0
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Mashujaa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mtibwa Sugar | 0 | 17.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 24.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 7% |
| Attack | 58% | 0% |
| Defense | 67% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
46%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
49%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Mashujaa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| Wins | 71% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 0% | 21% |
| Draws | 29% | 67% | 46% | 50% | 25% | 36% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 15% | 0% | 75% | 43% |
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MashujaaDWLLDWWDDLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Mashujaa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mtibwa Sugar | Mashujaa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 54% | 54% | 36% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 8% | 0% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Mashujaa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 92% | 8% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 94% | 6% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 66.8% | 33.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.10 @ 10Bet
Draw3.45 @ Superbet
Away5.25 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.45 @ Superbet
No1.61 @ Marathonbet
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League standings
Loading standings…