Thu, Apr 16 2026 • 15:30 •
Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
Expected Goals
3.01 (league 1.34)
0.19 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 83.6% | 6.8% | 1.1% |
best score tips
3 - 0
18.5%
2 - 0
18.4%
4 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Mbeya City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Young Africans | 0 | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.4% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 18.5% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Young Africans | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Young Africans | Mbeya City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 89% | 56% | 72% | 10% | 38% | 22% |
| Draws | 11% | 44% | 28% | 50% | 0% | 28% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 63% | 50% |
Young AfricansWDWWWWWWWWDWWDDDWW
Mbeya CityWLDWLDLLLLLDDWLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Young Africans | Mbeya City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 10 | 38 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GF avg | 3.1 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Young Africans | Mbeya City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 17% | 56% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 0% | 22% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Young Africans | Mbeya City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Young Africans | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Young Africans | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Young Africans | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 88% | 13% |
| Poisson Distribution | 93% | 7% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 69.2% | 31.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.11 @ Bet365
Draw10.77 @ Pinnacle
Away56.00 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes5.10 @ Marathonbet
No1.22 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.55 @ Unibet
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League standings
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