Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 16:00 •
Stadion v Kollarove ulici
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.40)
0.63 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.8% | 23.7% | 13.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.7%
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Prostějov | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vlašim | 0 | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.7% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Vlašim carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 162 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Vlašim +46.7, Prostějov +4.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Vlašim
vs
Prostějov
Elo gapVlašim +162
Home / draw / away59% / 18% / 23%
Expected home share72%
Combined Elo3064.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3064.7
Elo home share
72%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Vlašim | Prostějov |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1595.7 | 1469 |
| Form Elo | 1631.6 | 1472.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1551.4 | 1464 |
| Attack Elo | 1614.3 | 1492.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1631.8 | 1513.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +46.7 | +4.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Vlašim last-5 Elo change: +46.7; Prostějov last-5 Elo change: +4.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vlašim | Prostějov |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 33% |
| Attack | 62% | 38% |
| Defense | 92% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vlašim | Prostějov | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 42% | 33% | 38% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 33% | 42% | 38% | 42% | 50% | 46% |
VlašimLLLWDLLLDDDWLLLWWWDWWWDW
ProstějovLWDLLWLLWWDLLLDDLDDLDLDW
League goals
| Metric | Vlašim | Prostějov | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 12 | 34 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 15 | 26 | 19 | 16 | 35 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vlašim | Prostějov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 63% | 67% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 29% | 33% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 13% | 8% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vlašim | Prostějov | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vlašim | Prostějov |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vlašim | Prostějov |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-2 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vlašim | Prostějov |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 72% | 28% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 88% | 13% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 74.3% | 25.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.67 @ Unibet
Draw3.95 @ Dafabet
Away5.10 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.00 @ Unibet
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League standings
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