Fri, May 1 2026 • 16:00 •
Stadion v Jiraskove ulici
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.41)
1.15 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.4% | 30.5% | 43.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.9%
0 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Vlašim | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vysočina Jihlava | 0 | 13.8% | 15.9% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Vlašim carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 106 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Vysočina Jihlava -30.1, Vlašim +30.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Vysočina Jihlava
vs
Vlašim
Elo gapVlašim +106
Home / draw / away29% / 18% / 53%
Expected home share35%
Combined Elo3040.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3040.3
Elo home share
35%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Vysočina Jihlava | Vlašim |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1449.9 | 1590.4 |
| Form Elo | 1431.2 | 1622.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1495.1 | 1494.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1490.9 | 1608.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1551.6 | 1630.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -30.1 | +30.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Vysočina Jihlava last-5 Elo change: -30.1; Vlašim last-5 Elo change: +30.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vysočina Jihlava | Vlašim |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 73% |
| Attack | 33% | 67% |
| Defense | 25% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vysočina Jihlava | Vlašim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 17% | 17% | 17% | 38% | 33% | 36% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 31% | 25% | 28% |
| Loses | 50% | 58% | 54% | 31% | 42% | 36% |
Vysočina JihlavaLLWWDDWLLLDLLDWLDDLLDLLL
VlašimLLLWDLLLDDDWLLLWWWDWWWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Vysočina Jihlava | Vlašim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 23 | 12 | 35 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 15 | 17 | 32 | 12 | 15 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vysočina Jihlava | Vlašim | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 79% | 72% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 46% | 28% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 8% | 16% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 8% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vysočina Jihlava | Vlašim | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vysočina Jihlava | Vlašim |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vysočina Jihlava | Vlašim |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 7-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vysočina Jihlava | Vlašim |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 8% | 92% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 41% | 59% |
| Total | 30.3% | 69.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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