Iraqi League — Iraq
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.28) 1.40 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.9% 27.4% 51.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.8%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Diyala
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosul 0 11.2% 15.8% 11.1% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.8% 12.3% 8.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.4% 4.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMosulDiyala
Played33
Form67%100%
Attack45%45%
Defense82%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.75 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.72 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mosul Diyala
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins100%50%67%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%33%0%0%0%

Form: Mosul: LWW • Diyala: WWW

League goals

Metric Mosul Diyala
HATHAT
GF total235235
GF avg2.01.51.72.01.51.7
GA total112112
GA avg1.00.50.71.00.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMosulDiyala
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%67%
1.567%0%67%0%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMosulDiyala
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricMosulDiyala
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMosulDiyala
Wins03
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-32-11-2
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For2322
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricMosulDiyala
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total44.8%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Diyala

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mosul = 0.78 (league 1.28), Diyala = 1.40 (league 1.07)

Diyala
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosul 0 11.2% 15.8% 11.1% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.8% 12.3% 8.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.4% 4.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.9% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 51.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1